Anthropic holds a strong 76% implied probability on the LiveBench overall leaderboard through end of October due to its Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series consistently posting the highest verified scores across recent snapshots, driven by superior results in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI trails at 18% despite competitive GPT-6 Astra and o3-mini variants, reflecting a narrower gap in some dynamic leaderboards but repeated shortfalls against Anthropic's latest releases. Other labs including Google, Meta, and DeepSeek remain below 1% as their models lag in independent benchmark aggregates. Traders are weighting Anthropic's recent model updates and sustained frontier positioning ahead of the October resolution, though new releases or scoring changes could still shift outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 20%
Google <1%
Meta <1%
$22,953 Обс.
$22,953 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
20%
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 20%
Google <1%
Meta <1%
$22,953 Обс.
$22,953 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$9,597 Обс.
76%
OpenAI
$3,716 Обс.
20%
$613 Обс.
1%
Meta
$760 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$525 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$555 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$515 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$476 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$463 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$512 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$523 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$479 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$513 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$454 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$446 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$482 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$441 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$417 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$529 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$479 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$457 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a strong 76% implied probability on the LiveBench overall leaderboard through end of October due to its Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series consistently posting the highest verified scores across recent snapshots, driven by superior results in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI trails at 18% despite competitive GPT-6 Astra and o3-mini variants, reflecting a narrower gap in some dynamic leaderboards but repeated shortfalls against Anthropic's latest releases. Other labs including Google, Meta, and DeepSeek remain below 1% as their models lag in independent benchmark aggregates. Traders are weighting Anthropic's recent model updates and sustained frontier positioning ahead of the October resolution, though new releases or scoring changes could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,953Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a strong 76% implied probability on the LiveBench overall leaderboard through end of October due to its Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series consistently posting the highest verified scores across recent snapshots, driven by superior results in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI trails at 18% despite competitive GPT-6 Astra and o3-mini variants, reflecting a narrower gap in some dynamic leaderboards but repeated shortfalls against Anthropic's latest releases. Other labs including Google, Meta, and DeepSeek remain below 1% as their models lag in independent benchmark aggregates. Traders are weighting Anthropic's recent model updates and sustained frontier positioning ahead of the October resolution, though new releases or scoring changes could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$22,953Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a strong 76% implied probability on the LiveBench overall leaderboard through end of October due to its Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 series consistently posting the highest verified scores across recent snapshots, driven by superior results in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI trails at 18% despite competitive GPT-6 Astra and o3-mini variants, reflecting a narrower gap in some dynamic leaderboards but repeated shortfalls against Anthropic's latest releases. Other labs including Google, Meta, and DeepSeek remain below 1% as their models lag in independent benchmark aggregates. Traders are weighting Anthropic's recent model updates and sustained frontier positioning ahead of the October resolution, though new releases or scoring changes could still shift outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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