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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$349,238 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$349,238 Обс.

Polymarket

South Korea

$56,634 Обс.

24%

India

$60,467 Обс.

23%

United Kingdom

$441 Обс.

18%

Israel

$400 Обс.

17%

Mexico

$2,668 Обс.

16%

Taiwan

$32,449 Обс.

15%

Vietnam

$5,531 Обс.

15%

Indonesia

$19,076 Обс.

14%

South Africa

$391 Обс.

13%

Pakistan

$104,522 Обс.

12%

Canada

$2,831 Обс.

11%

Russia

$2,045 Обс.

10%

Australia

$6,127 Обс.

10%

European Union

$13,088 Обс.

8%

Argentina

$21,537 Обс.

7%

Brazil

$4,227 Обс.

6%

Japan

$16,805 Обс.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$349,238
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$349,238
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «South Korea» з 24%, далі «India» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» згенерував $349.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» — «South Korea» з 24%. Наступний — «India» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.