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icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$391,754 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$391,754 Обс.

Polymarket

South Korea

$60,495 Обс.

16%

Indonesia

$19,598 Обс.

16%

Israel

$572 Обс.

14%

India

$70,746 Обс.

13%

United Kingdom

$586 Обс.

13%

Canada

$22,386 Обс.

12%

South Africa

$553 Обс.

12%

Taiwan

$34,031 Обс.

17%

Mexico

$2,879 Обс.

11%

Argentina

$22,653 Обс.

11%

Australia

$6,287 Обс.

10%

Russia

$2,262 Обс.

10%

Pakistan

$105,546 Обс.

9%

Brazil

$4,809 Обс.

8%

European Union

$13,349 Обс.

7%

Japan

$17,763 Обс.

8%

Vietnam

$7,240 Обс.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second-term trade strategy centers on leveraging reciprocal tariffs and the Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ART) framework to secure bilateral market access, tariff reductions on U.S. exports, purchase commitments, and supply-chain standards, resulting in multiple deals since 2025. Key recent developments include the July 2026 Jordan ART signing, February 2026 Ecuador and Taiwan agreements, and frameworks or early-harvest pacts with Thailand, Vietnam, India, and others announced in late 2025, alongside finalized arrangements with the UK, Japan, EU, Indonesia, Malaysia, and China-focused agricultural purchases. With roughly three months remaining before 2027, ongoing Thailand negotiations—highlighted by a scheduled presidential call in mid-September 2026—and USMCA review talks with Canada and Mexico represent the primary near-term catalysts, while broader momentum depends on completing additional ART frameworks amid continued tariff enforcement and G20-level diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects the administration's emphasis on rapid bilateral outcomes with aligned partners rather than comprehensive multilateral pacts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$391,754
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second-term trade strategy centers on leveraging reciprocal tariffs and the Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ART) framework to secure bilateral market access, tariff reductions on U.S. exports, purchase commitments, and supply-chain standards, resulting in multiple deals since 2025. Key recent developments include the July 2026 Jordan ART signing, February 2026 Ecuador and Taiwan agreements, and frameworks or early-harvest pacts with Thailand, Vietnam, India, and others announced in late 2025, alongside finalized arrangements with the UK, Japan, EU, Indonesia, Malaysia, and China-focused agricultural purchases. With roughly three months remaining before 2027, ongoing Thailand negotiations—highlighted by a scheduled presidential call in mid-September 2026—and USMCA review talks with Canada and Mexico represent the primary near-term catalysts, while broader momentum depends on completing additional ART frameworks amid continued tariff enforcement and G20-level diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects the administration's emphasis on rapid bilateral outcomes with aligned partners rather than comprehensive multilateral pacts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$391,754
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Taiwan» з 17%, далі «South Korea» з 16%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» згенерував $391.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» — «Taiwan» з 17%. Наступний — «South Korea» з 16%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.