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Політика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Політика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$246,754 Обс.

Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$246,754 Обс.

Polymarket

California

$11,792 Обс.

95%

Texas

$3,356 Обс.

95%

North Carolina

$8,544 Обс.

97%

Ohio

$5,655 Обс.

93%

Utah

$58,474 Обс.

85%

Florida

$1,177 Обс.

58%

Louisiana

$15,515 Обс.

91%

Missouri

$3,794 Обс.

84%

Virginia

$6,339 Обс.

16%

Alabama

$13,838 Обс.

89%

South Carolina

$20,585 Обс.

72%

Georgia

$1,945 Обс.

12%

Kansas

$5,012 Обс.

8%

New Jersey

$5,044 Обс.

5%

Indiana

$26,094 Обс.

11%

Washington

$5,135 Обс.

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 Обс.

7%

Illinois

$9,377 Обс.

3%

Minnesota

$9,318 Обс.

3%

New York

$8,026 Обс.

13%

Maryland

$6,044 Обс.

4%

Wisconsin

$15,208 Обс.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$246,754
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$246,754
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 22 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «North Carolina» з 97%, далі «California» з 95%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» згенерував $246.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 30, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?», перегляньте 22 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — «North Carolina» з 97%. Наступний — «California» з 95%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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