Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and unrestricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following earlier ceasefires and direct engagements involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance. As of early August, U.S. officials report ongoing messaging through intermediaries and progress toward interim Hormuz arrangements, while Iran has denied formal bilateral sessions and emphasized separate Oman-mediated discussions. Mixed signals include U.S. warnings of a "last chance" for a deal alongside canceled strikes and Iranian assertions of control over transit routes. These diplomatic and military brinkmanship dynamics, set against the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether a round of US-Iran talks will convene.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$72,819 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
49%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
31%
Abbas Araghchi
30%
Kazem Gharibabadi
29%
Steve Witkoff
28%
Jared Kushner
28%
J.D. Vance
23%
Ishaq Dar
19%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Marco Rubio
6%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Esmail Qaani
3%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
46%
$72,819 Обс.
Nick Stewart
$10 Обс.
49%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$9,078 Обс.
31%
Abbas Araghchi
$6,947 Обс.
30%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,015 Обс.
29%
Steve Witkoff
$9,600 Обс.
28%
Jared Kushner
$11,054 Обс.
28%
J.D. Vance
$5,353 Обс.
23%
Ishaq Dar
$2,244 Обс.
19%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,599 Обс.
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 Обс.
10%
Marco Rubio
$7,316 Обс.
6%
Rafael Grossi
$878 Обс.
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 Обс.
4%
Esmail Qaani
$360 Обс.
3%
Pete Hegseth
$2,551 Обс.
2%
Donald Trump
$5,417 Обс.
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 Обс.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 Обс.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and unrestricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following earlier ceasefires and direct engagements involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance. As of early August, U.S. officials report ongoing messaging through intermediaries and progress toward interim Hormuz arrangements, while Iran has denied formal bilateral sessions and emphasized separate Oman-mediated discussions. Mixed signals include U.S. warnings of a "last chance" for a deal alongside canceled strikes and Iranian assertions of control over transit routes. These diplomatic and military brinkmanship dynamics, set against the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether a round of US-Iran talks will convene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$72,819Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and unrestricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following earlier ceasefires and direct engagements involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance. As of early August, U.S. officials report ongoing messaging through intermediaries and progress toward interim Hormuz arrangements, while Iran has denied formal bilateral sessions and emphasized separate Oman-mediated discussions. Mixed signals include U.S. warnings of a "last chance" for a deal alongside canceled strikes and Iranian assertions of control over transit routes. These diplomatic and military brinkmanship dynamics, set against the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether a round of US-Iran talks will convene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$72,819Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on the fragile June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which launched a 60-day window for technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and unrestricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following earlier ceasefires and direct engagements involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance. As of early August, U.S. officials report ongoing messaging through intermediaries and progress toward interim Hormuz arrangements, while Iran has denied formal bilateral sessions and emphasized separate Oman-mediated discussions. Mixed signals include U.S. warnings of a "last chance" for a deal alongside canceled strikes and Iranian assertions of control over transit routes. These diplomatic and military brinkmanship dynamics, set against the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether a round of US-Iran talks will convene.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання