US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, sanctions relief, and ending hostilities following the 2026 conflict and prior ceasefire. As of early August, President Trump has described negotiations as underway or imminent—labeling them a "last chance" for a deal—while emphasizing priority on Hormuz navigation and denuclearization; Tehran denies direct bilateral talks and conditions any progress on ending the US naval blockade and related measures, preferring indirect channels via Oman. Mediators including Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar have facilitated prior rounds, with recent statements highlighting stalled momentum and Iranian demands for sequential implementation. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over attendance formats, direct participation, and whether a new round materializes before the August 31 cutoff amid these competing positions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$75,472 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
49%
Kazem Gharibabadi
32%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20%
Jared Kushner
19%
Steve Witkoff
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
17%
Abbas Araghchi
15%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
J.D. Vance
7%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Esmail Qaani
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
42%
$75,472 Обс.
Nick Stewart
$10 Обс.
49%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,015 Обс.
32%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$9,817 Обс.
20%
Jared Kushner
$11,360 Обс.
19%
Steve Witkoff
$9,897 Обс.
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,599 Обс.
17%
Abbas Araghchi
$7,017 Обс.
15%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 Обс.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,382 Обс.
10%
J.D. Vance
$6,240 Обс.
7%
Rafael Grossi
$878 Обс.
17%
Pete Hegseth
$2,551 Обс.
5%
Esmail Qaani
$360 Обс.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 Обс.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,533 Обс.
3%
Donald Trump
$5,417 Обс.
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 Обс.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 Обс.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, sanctions relief, and ending hostilities following the 2026 conflict and prior ceasefire. As of early August, President Trump has described negotiations as underway or imminent—labeling them a "last chance" for a deal—while emphasizing priority on Hormuz navigation and denuclearization; Tehran denies direct bilateral talks and conditions any progress on ending the US naval blockade and related measures, preferring indirect channels via Oman. Mediators including Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar have facilitated prior rounds, with recent statements highlighting stalled momentum and Iranian demands for sequential implementation. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over attendance formats, direct participation, and whether a new round materializes before the August 31 cutoff amid these competing positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$75,472Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, sanctions relief, and ending hostilities following the 2026 conflict and prior ceasefire. As of early August, President Trump has described negotiations as underway or imminent—labeling them a "last chance" for a deal—while emphasizing priority on Hormuz navigation and denuclearization; Tehran denies direct bilateral talks and conditions any progress on ending the US naval blockade and related measures, preferring indirect channels via Oman. Mediators including Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar have facilitated prior rounds, with recent statements highlighting stalled momentum and Iranian demands for sequential implementation. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over attendance formats, direct participation, and whether a new round materializes before the August 31 cutoff amid these competing positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$75,472Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, sanctions relief, and ending hostilities following the 2026 conflict and prior ceasefire. As of early August, President Trump has described negotiations as underway or imminent—labeling them a "last chance" for a deal—while emphasizing priority on Hormuz navigation and denuclearization; Tehran denies direct bilateral talks and conditions any progress on ending the US naval blockade and related measures, preferring indirect channels via Oman. Mediators including Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar have facilitated prior rounds, with recent statements highlighting stalled momentum and Iranian demands for sequential implementation. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over attendance formats, direct participation, and whether a new round materializes before the August 31 cutoff amid these competing positions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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