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Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

icon for Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

8% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
8% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as the company's most affordable laptop at $599 with the A18 Pro chip, has driven 91.8% market-implied odds against discontinuation by year-end, fueled by explosive demand that sold out inventory through May and prompted doubled 2026 production forecasts to 10 million units. Traders' strong consensus reflects its breakout success challenging Chromebooks and budget Windows PCs, bolstered by robust sales representing over 20% of Apple's notebook shipments in early weeks. Supply strains on A18 Pro chips and surging DRAM costs from AI demand have sparked rumors of dropping the base 256GB model or price hikes, yet Apple is ordering fresh chip runs; realistic challenges include prolonged shortages forcing a premature refresh, though its strategic role in expanding market share makes full cessation unlikely absent major strategic shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$554
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as the company's most affordable laptop at $599 with the A18 Pro chip, has driven 91.8% market-implied odds against discontinuation by year-end, fueled by explosive demand that sold out inventory through May and prompted doubled 2026 production forecasts to 10 million units. Traders' strong consensus reflects its breakout success challenging Chromebooks and budget Windows PCs, bolstered by robust sales representing over 20% of Apple's notebook shipments in early weeks. Supply strains on A18 Pro chips and surging DRAM costs from AI demand have sparked rumors of dropping the base 256GB model or price hikes, yet Apple is ordering fresh chip runs; realistic challenges include prolonged shortages forcing a premature refresh, though its strategic role in expanding market share makes full cessation unlikely absent major strategic shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$554
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 8% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 8¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 8%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 13, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?» — 8% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 8% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.