The February 2026 split between Cardi B and Stefon Diggs, driven by trust issues and escalating complications during the rapper’s Little Miss Drama Tour, has anchored trader sentiment against an engagement this year. With the NFL star’s Patriots exiting the Super Bowl without a ring and the pair shifting focus to co-parenting their November 2025 son, recent public appearances have delivered mixed signals—PDA at a Mother’s Day event followed quickly by heated arguments captured on video in mid-May. No official statements or confirmed reconciliation have emerged to shift momentum toward a proposal, leaving the market-implied 89.2% probability for “No” aligned with the turbulent on-again, off-again pattern and absence of any engagement catalysts on the horizon.