Justice Clarence Thomas, appointed in 1991, has given no public signals of retirement as of mid-2026, with sources close to him indicating he plans to remain on the Supreme Court at least through the current term and into 2027. At age 77, Thomas recently became the second-longest-serving justice in history and has previously expressed a desire to continue well into the future, potentially eclipsing tenure records. Reports from April and May 2026 note that neither Thomas nor Justice Samuel Alito intends to step down this year, despite their ages approaching historical retirement norms around 80 and the opportunity for additional appointments under a Republican administration and Senate. Trader sentiment likely reflects these statements alongside procedural factors such as the timing of any announcement before term end or midterms, with low probabilities attached to near-term retirement given the absence of confirmed developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSeptember 30, 2026
6%
December 31, 2026
6%
June 30, 2027
52%
$786 Обс.
September 30, 2026
6%
December 31, 2026
6%
June 30, 2027
52%
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Clarence Thomas, appointed in 1991, has given no public signals of retirement as of mid-2026, with sources close to him indicating he plans to remain on the Supreme Court at least through the current term and into 2027. At age 77, Thomas recently became the second-longest-serving justice in history and has previously expressed a desire to continue well into the future, potentially eclipsing tenure records. Reports from April and May 2026 note that neither Thomas nor Justice Samuel Alito intends to step down this year, despite their ages approaching historical retirement norms around 80 and the opportunity for additional appointments under a Republican administration and Senate. Trader sentiment likely reflects these statements alongside procedural factors such as the timing of any announcement before term end or midterms, with low probabilities attached to near-term retirement given the absence of confirmed developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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