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icon for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

icon for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$786 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$26 Обс.

6%

December 31, 2026

$748 Обс.

6%

June 30, 2027

$11 Обс.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, appointed in 1991, has given no public signals of retirement as of mid-2026, with sources close to him indicating he plans to remain on the Supreme Court at least through the current term and into 2027. At age 77, Thomas recently became the second-longest-serving justice in history and has previously expressed a desire to continue well into the future, potentially eclipsing tenure records. Reports from April and May 2026 note that neither Thomas nor Justice Samuel Alito intends to step down this year, despite their ages approaching historical retirement norms around 80 and the opportunity for additional appointments under a Republican administration and Senate. Trader sentiment likely reflects these statements alongside procedural factors such as the timing of any announcement before term end or midterms, with low probabilities attached to near-term retirement given the absence of confirmed developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Обсяг
$786
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, appointed in 1991, has given no public signals of retirement as of mid-2026, with sources close to him indicating he plans to remain on the Supreme Court at least through the current term and into 2027. At age 77, Thomas recently became the second-longest-serving justice in history and has previously expressed a desire to continue well into the future, potentially eclipsing tenure records. Reports from April and May 2026 note that neither Thomas nor Justice Samuel Alito intends to step down this year, despite their ages approaching historical retirement norms around 80 and the opportunity for additional appointments under a Republican administration and Senate. Trader sentiment likely reflects these statements alongside procedural factors such as the timing of any announcement before term end or midterms, with low probabilities attached to near-term retirement given the absence of confirmed developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Обсяг
$786
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 30, 2027» з 52%, далі «September 30, 2026» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?» — «June 30, 2027» з 52%. Наступний — «September 30, 2026» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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