Skip to main content
icon for Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Політика·демократична партія

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

icon for Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Політика·демократична партія

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

59% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
59% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus gives Democrats a 57.5% implied probability of sweeping the core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts favoring Democratic incumbents and nominees. In North Carolina's open seat, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads GOP chair Michael Whatley 50%-42% per the latest High Point University poll, bolstering sweep hopes. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff shifted to Leans Democratic in Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, while Michigan's open contest and Maine's vulnerable Susan Collins seat show Democratic tilts in fresh NYT and MPRC surveys updated May 13. Midterm headwinds for the GOP White House, alongside upcoming primaries in these battlegrounds, underpin the closely contested pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Обсяг
$3,985
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus gives Democrats a 57.5% implied probability of sweeping the core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts favoring Democratic incumbents and nominees. In North Carolina's open seat, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads GOP chair Michael Whatley 50%-42% per the latest High Point University poll, bolstering sweep hopes. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff shifted to Leans Democratic in Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, while Michigan's open contest and Maine's vulnerable Susan Collins seat show Democratic tilts in fresh NYT and MPRC surveys updated May 13. Midterm headwinds for the GOP White House, alongside upcoming primaries in these battlegrounds, underpin the closely contested pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Обсяг
$3,985
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 59% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 59¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 59%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jan 13, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?» — 59% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 59% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.