Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 7, 2028
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 7, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,187Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$1,187Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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