**Trader consensus in the 2028 presidential cycle centers on male frontrunners dominating early positioning.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican nomination markets and overall election contracts at roughly 20-25% implied probability, followed by figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Democratic markets show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rising but competing against men including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff. Recent national polls reflect similar patterns, with Harris and Ocasio-Cortez registering support yet trailing or splitting the field alongside male contenders. Prediction markets price a female nominee on either side or a general-election victory at around 26%, reflecting the open primaries, electability considerations after 2024, and absence of a dominant female candidate in current aggregates. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this distribution in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено26% шанс
$13,151 Обс.
$13,151 Обс.
Nov 6, 2028
26% шанс
$13,151 Обс.
$13,151 Обс.
Nov 6, 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.**Trader consensus in the 2028 presidential cycle centers on male frontrunners dominating early positioning.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican nomination markets and overall election contracts at roughly 20-25% implied probability, followed by figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Democratic markets show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rising but competing against men including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff.
Recent national polls reflect similar patterns, with Harris and Ocasio-Cortez registering support yet trailing or splitting the field alongside male contenders. Prediction markets price a female nominee on either side or a general-election victory at around 26%, reflecting the open primaries, electability considerations after 2024, and absence of a dominant female candidate in current aggregates. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this distribution in recent weeks.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,151Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.**Trader consensus in the 2028 presidential cycle centers on male frontrunners dominating early positioning.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican nomination markets and overall election contracts at roughly 20-25% implied probability, followed by figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Democratic markets show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rising but competing against men including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff.
Recent national polls reflect similar patterns, with Harris and Ocasio-Cortez registering support yet trailing or splitting the field alongside male contenders. Prediction markets price a female nominee on either side or a general-election victory at around 26%, reflecting the open primaries, electability considerations after 2024, and absence of a dominant female candidate in current aggregates. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this distribution in recent weeks.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Обсяг
$13,151Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2028Ринок відкрито
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus in the 2028 presidential cycle centers on male frontrunners dominating early positioning.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican nomination markets and overall election contracts at roughly 20-25% implied probability, followed by figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Democratic markets show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rising but competing against men including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff. Recent national polls reflect similar patterns, with Harris and Ocasio-Cortez registering support yet trailing or splitting the field alongside male contenders. Prediction markets price a female nominee on either side or a general-election victory at around 26%, reflecting the open primaries, electability considerations after 2024, and absence of a dominant female candidate in current aggregates. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this distribution in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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