Canada's lower FIFA ranking around 30th, compared to Mexico at 14th and the United States at 17th, combined with its limited historical World Cup results and recent send-off matches, positions it as the consensus frontrunner for worst host-nation finish in the expanded 48-team tournament. Mexico's stronger CONCACAF dominance and higher squad depth keep its implied probability lowest at 11.5%, while the U.S. benefits from home-soil momentum and deeper roster options under Pochettino. The tight Canada-Other spread reflects early-group uncertainty, variable matchups, and the possibility that none of the co-hosts underperforms dramatically relative to the field, sustaining competitive trader pricing across these outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWorld Cup: Worst-Placed Host Nation
Canada 54%
USA 25%
Mexico 12%
Canada
54%
Mexico
12%
USA
25%
Canada 54%
USA 25%
Mexico 12%
Canada
54%
Mexico
12%
USA
25%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada's lower FIFA ranking around 30th, compared to Mexico at 14th and the United States at 17th, combined with its limited historical World Cup results and recent send-off matches, positions it as the consensus frontrunner for worst host-nation finish in the expanded 48-team tournament. Mexico's stronger CONCACAF dominance and higher squad depth keep its implied probability lowest at 11.5%, while the U.S. benefits from home-soil momentum and deeper roster options under Pochettino. The tight Canada-Other spread reflects early-group uncertainty, variable matchups, and the possibility that none of the co-hosts underperforms dramatically relative to the field, sustaining competitive trader pricing across these outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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