Trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across dozens of candidates priced near 50% implied probability, signaling that no single figure has pulled ahead in trader consensus. Competitive dynamics hinge on a mix of age, cultural footprint, and potential for global media coverage if a passing occurs in 2026, with high-profile names like Dolly Parton and Ali Khamenei trading lower due to their established visibility yet still facing competition from less predictable options. Key differentiators include political ramifications for world leaders, entertainment reach for celebrities, and the scale of posthumous search spikes driven by algorithm amplification on Google. Any credible health update or public event could rapidly reprice these outcomes before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDolly Parton 40%
Oliver Tree 17%
Hayden Panettiere 14%
Ali Khamenei 10%
$84,551 KL.
$84,551 KL.
Dolly Parton
40%
Oliver Tree
17%
Hayden Panettiere
14%
Ali Khamenei
10%
Renée Good
4%
Chuck Norris
4%
Alex Pretti
3%
Kyle Busch
1%
Lindsey Graham
1%
Nicholas Brendon
1%
Catherine O'Hara
1%
Robert Duvall
1%
James Van Der Beek
1%
Eric Dane
1%
Bonnie Tyler
1%
Jesse Jackson
1%
Ted Turner
1%
David Hockney
1%
Alan Greenspan
1%
Clive Davis
1%
Victor Willis
1%
Sam Neill
1%
Bob Weir
1%
Valentino Garavani
1%
Scott Adams
1%
Dolly Parton 40%
Oliver Tree 17%
Hayden Panettiere 14%
Ali Khamenei 10%
$84,551 KL.
$84,551 KL.
Dolly Parton
40%
Oliver Tree
17%
Hayden Panettiere
14%
Ali Khamenei
10%
Renée Good
4%
Chuck Norris
4%
Alex Pretti
3%
Kyle Busch
1%
Lindsey Graham
1%
Nicholas Brendon
1%
Catherine O'Hara
1%
Robert Duvall
1%
James Van Der Beek
1%
Eric Dane
1%
Bonnie Tyler
1%
Jesse Jackson
1%
Ted Turner
1%
David Hockney
1%
Alan Greenspan
1%
Clive Davis
1%
Victor Willis
1%
Sam Neill
1%
Bob Weir
1%
Valentino Garavani
1%
Scott Adams
1%
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Thị trường mở: Jul 17, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across dozens of candidates priced near 50% implied probability, signaling that no single figure has pulled ahead in trader consensus. Competitive dynamics hinge on a mix of age, cultural footprint, and potential for global media coverage if a passing occurs in 2026, with high-profile names like Dolly Parton and Ali Khamenei trading lower due to their established visibility yet still facing competition from less predictable options. Key differentiators include political ramifications for world leaders, entertainment reach for celebrities, and the scale of posthumous search spikes driven by algorithm amplification on Google. Any credible health update or public event could rapidly reprice these outcomes before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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