The 2026 U.S. Open second-round leader market reflects a tightly bunched field where no single golfer holds a decisive edge after early rounds at the demanding venue. Deep talent pool, variable scoring conditions, and the premium on accurate ball-striking keep probabilities clustered, with many players sharing realistic paths to the top spot through steady play or low rounds. Recent form, course history, and positional advantages in the draw further balance the race, while the inherent variability of major-championship golf—weather shifts, pin placements, and momentum swings—prevents any dominant consensus. Traders price this as a wide-open proposition consistent with historical patterns where multiple contenders remain within striking distance heading into weekend play.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCameron Smith 97%
Joaquin Niemann 89%
Jake Knapp 74%
Dustin Johnson 74%
Cameron Smith
97%
Joaquin Niemann
89%
Jake Knapp
74%
Dustin Johnson
74%
Lucas Herbert
72%
Adam Scott
70%
Gary Woodland
66%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
63%
Shane Lowry
51%
Carlos Ortiz
50%
Jason Day
39%
Justin Thomas
34%
Si Woo Kim
32%
Bryson DeChambeau
32%
Russell Henley
32%
Xander Schauffele
32%
Bud Cauley
32%
Cameron Young
31%
Robert MacIntyre
31%
Daniel Berger
31%
Matt Fitzpatrick
31%
Scottie Scheffler
31%
Patrick Cantlay
31%
Tommy Fleetwood
30%
Ludvig Åberg
30%
Kurt Kitayama
30%
Jacob Bridgeman
30%
Alex Smalley
30%
Akshay Bhatia
30%
Collin Morikawa
30%
Chris Gotterup
30%
Harris English
29%
Viktor Hovland
29%
Wyndham Clark
29%
Nicolai Højgaard
29%
Min Woo Lee
28%
J.T. Poston
28%
Ben Griffin
27%
Rory McIlroy
26%
Alex Noren
26%
J.J. Spaun
24%
Kristoffer Reitan
23%
Sepp Straka
23%
Tyrrell Hatton
22%
Aaron Rai
19%
Rickie Fowler
18%
Sam Burns
17%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Keegan Bradley
12%
Patrick Reed
8%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Justin Rose
17%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Jon Rahm
32%
Cameron Smith 97%
Joaquin Niemann 89%
Jake Knapp 74%
Dustin Johnson 74%
Cameron Smith
97%
Joaquin Niemann
89%
Jake Knapp
74%
Dustin Johnson
74%
Lucas Herbert
72%
Adam Scott
70%
Gary Woodland
66%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
63%
Shane Lowry
51%
Carlos Ortiz
50%
Jason Day
39%
Justin Thomas
34%
Si Woo Kim
32%
Bryson DeChambeau
32%
Russell Henley
32%
Xander Schauffele
32%
Bud Cauley
32%
Cameron Young
31%
Robert MacIntyre
31%
Daniel Berger
31%
Matt Fitzpatrick
31%
Scottie Scheffler
31%
Patrick Cantlay
31%
Tommy Fleetwood
30%
Ludvig Åberg
30%
Kurt Kitayama
30%
Jacob Bridgeman
30%
Alex Smalley
30%
Akshay Bhatia
30%
Collin Morikawa
30%
Chris Gotterup
30%
Harris English
29%
Viktor Hovland
29%
Wyndham Clark
29%
Nicolai Højgaard
29%
Min Woo Lee
28%
J.T. Poston
28%
Ben Griffin
27%
Rory McIlroy
26%
Alex Noren
26%
J.J. Spaun
24%
Kristoffer Reitan
23%
Sepp Straka
23%
Tyrrell Hatton
22%
Aaron Rai
19%
Rickie Fowler
18%
Sam Burns
17%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Keegan Bradley
12%
Patrick Reed
8%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Justin Rose
17%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Jon Rahm
32%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open second-round leader market reflects a tightly bunched field where no single golfer holds a decisive edge after early rounds at the demanding venue. Deep talent pool, variable scoring conditions, and the premium on accurate ball-striking keep probabilities clustered, with many players sharing realistic paths to the top spot through steady play or low rounds. Recent form, course history, and positional advantages in the draw further balance the race, while the inherent variability of major-championship golf—weather shifts, pin placements, and momentum swings—prevents any dominant consensus. Traders price this as a wide-open proposition consistent with historical patterns where multiple contenders remain within striking distance heading into weekend play.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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