Recent public tensions between Alix Earle and Call Her Daddy host Alex Cooper have kept traders favoring the "No" outcome at 66.5%. The rift traces back to the February 2025 departure of Earle’s Hot Mess podcast from Cooper’s Unwell Network, followed by unfollows and passive social-media jabs that escalated into direct call-outs on TikTok in April 2026. Earle’s May 12 appearance on the Today show, where she downplayed the drama as “exaggerated” while dodging specifics, reinforced the sense of lingering distance rather than reconciliation. With no confirmed booking or mending signals in recent weeks, the market-implied odds reflect traders’ view that the ongoing industry friction makes a guest spot by year-end improbable absent a clear public reset.