The Bank of Japan's upcoming June 15-16 monetary policy meeting carries elevated expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike, reflecting the central bank's hawkish tilt following its April decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent amid a 6-3 board split. Three members dissented in favor of an immediate increase, and the subsequent summary of opinions released in mid-May highlighted upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. The BOJ upgraded its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent from 1.9 percent while trimming growth projections, underscoring the shift toward policy normalization. Recent comments from board members, including calls to end negative real rates promptly absent clear economic slowdown signals, have further reinforced trader consensus around gradual tightening. Markets will closely monitor May inflation data and yen movements for any last-minute adjustments ahead of the decision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 20%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
Decrease rates <1%
$114,885 KL.
$114,885 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
1%
No change
20%
25 bps increase
80%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 20%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
Decrease rates <1%
$114,885 KL.
$114,885 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
$34,145 KL.
1%
No change
$28,983 KL.
20%
25 bps increase
$27,391 KL.
80%
50+ bps increase
$24,366 KL.
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan's upcoming June 15-16 monetary policy meeting carries elevated expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike, reflecting the central bank's hawkish tilt following its April decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent amid a 6-3 board split. Three members dissented in favor of an immediate increase, and the subsequent summary of opinions released in mid-May highlighted upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. The BOJ upgraded its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent from 1.9 percent while trimming growth projections, underscoring the shift toward policy normalization. Recent comments from board members, including calls to end negative real rates promptly absent clear economic slowdown signals, have further reinforced trader consensus around gradual tightening. Markets will closely monitor May inflation data and yen movements for any last-minute adjustments ahead of the decision.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$114,885Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan's upcoming June 15-16 monetary policy meeting carries elevated expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike, reflecting the central bank's hawkish tilt following its April decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent amid a 6-3 board split. Three members dissented in favor of an immediate increase, and the subsequent summary of opinions released in mid-May highlighted upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. The BOJ upgraded its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent from 1.9 percent while trimming growth projections, underscoring the shift toward policy normalization. Recent comments from board members, including calls to end negative real rates promptly absent clear economic slowdown signals, have further reinforced trader consensus around gradual tightening. Markets will closely monitor May inflation data and yen movements for any last-minute adjustments ahead of the decision.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$114,885Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan's upcoming June 15-16 monetary policy meeting carries elevated expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike, reflecting the central bank's hawkish tilt following its April decision to hold the policy rate at 0.75 percent amid a 6-3 board split. Three members dissented in favor of an immediate increase, and the subsequent summary of opinions released in mid-May highlighted upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks and persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. The BOJ upgraded its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent from 1.9 percent while trimming growth projections, underscoring the shift toward policy normalization. Recent comments from board members, including calls to end negative real rates promptly absent clear economic slowdown signals, have further reinforced trader consensus around gradual tightening. Markets will closely monitor May inflation data and yen movements for any last-minute adjustments ahead of the decision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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