Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.3%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,920 KL.
$12,920 KL.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
85%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
4%
Other
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.3%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,920 KL.
$12,920 KL.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,334 KL.
85%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,344 KL.
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,693 KL.
4%
Other
$1,893 KL.
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,655 KL.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,920Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$12,920Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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