Recent polling trends position leftist senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round leader with 37-44 percent support, while conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia for the second runoff spot. Cepeda has expanded his base among younger voters and across regions ahead of the May 31 first round, yet remains well short of the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright win. Valencia doubled her share in late April surveys following primary gains, but de la Espriella maintains a narrow lead in head-to-head positioning. Trader consensus on the Espriella-Cepeda pairing reflects these vote-share patterns and the low probability of any candidate securing a first-round majority or a Valencia surge overtaking second place before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 81%
1st Round Outright Winner 10.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
81%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 81%
1st Round Outright Winner 10.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,283 KL.
81%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,811 KL.
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,278 KL.
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,147 KL.
<1%
Other
$1,031 KL.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling trends position leftist senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round leader with 37-44 percent support, while conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia for the second runoff spot. Cepeda has expanded his base among younger voters and across regions ahead of the May 31 first round, yet remains well short of the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright win. Valencia doubled her share in late April surveys following primary gains, but de la Espriella maintains a narrow lead in head-to-head positioning. Trader consensus on the Espriella-Cepeda pairing reflects these vote-share patterns and the low probability of any candidate securing a first-round majority or a Valencia surge overtaking second place before election day.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,551Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling trends position leftist senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round leader with 37-44 percent support, while conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia for the second runoff spot. Cepeda has expanded his base among younger voters and across regions ahead of the May 31 first round, yet remains well short of the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright win. Valencia doubled her share in late April surveys following primary gains, but de la Espriella maintains a narrow lead in head-to-head positioning. Trader consensus on the Espriella-Cepeda pairing reflects these vote-share patterns and the low probability of any candidate securing a first-round majority or a Valencia surge overtaking second place before election day.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$9,551Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position leftist senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round leader with 37-44 percent support, while conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella holds a consistent edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia for the second runoff spot. Cepeda has expanded his base among younger voters and across regions ahead of the May 31 first round, yet remains well short of the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright win. Valencia doubled her share in late April surveys following primary gains, but de la Espriella maintains a narrow lead in head-to-head positioning. Trader consensus on the Espriella-Cepeda pairing reflects these vote-share patterns and the low probability of any candidate securing a first-round majority or a Valencia surge overtaking second place before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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