Recent weekly posting volumes have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s September total near 800–900 posts, with the 840–879 bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed 200–219 posts in the first eight days and 186 in the following week, while shorter windows in mid-September clustered around 40–64 posts over three days, reflecting a steady daily pace of roughly 25–30 main-feed posts and reposts. Remaining days carry modest upside risk from high-engagement topics like platform policy or tech updates, yet historical patterns suggest limited volatility in the final stretch. Closely matched brackets underscore uncertainty around day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật840-879 23%
800-839 20%
880-919 18%
760-799 13%
$172,155 KL.
$172,155 KL.
560-599
<1%
600-639
1%
640-679
<1%
680-719
1%
720-759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
20%
840-879
23%
880-919
18%
920-959
12%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
840-879 23%
800-839 20%
880-919 18%
760-799 13%
$172,155 KL.
$172,155 KL.
560-599
<1%
600-639
1%
640-679
<1%
680-719
1%
720-759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
20%
840-879
23%
880-919
18%
920-959
12%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly posting volumes have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s September total near 800–900 posts, with the 840–879 bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed 200–219 posts in the first eight days and 186 in the following week, while shorter windows in mid-September clustered around 40–64 posts over three days, reflecting a steady daily pace of roughly 25–30 main-feed posts and reposts. Remaining days carry modest upside risk from high-engagement topics like platform policy or tech updates, yet historical patterns suggest limited volatility in the final stretch. Closely matched brackets underscore uncertainty around day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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