Elon Musk’s high-volume posting cadence on X drives the current market, where the 1000+ bracket leads at 33% implied probability amid a wide distribution of lower ranges. Recent short-term Polymarket settlements and archive data show daily averages often clustering between 20–30 posts, scaling to monthly totals that frequently exceed 800 during active stretches tied to Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and Starlink developments. October’s proximity to potential product updates and platform milestones could sustain momentum, though variability in his schedule introduces uncertainty across mid-800s and 900s brackets. Traders weigh historical precedent of intense engagement periods against the possibility of moderation during focused business cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1000+ 33%
920-959 13%
800-839 12%
960-999 11%
$35,754 KL.
$35,754 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
5%
780-799
8%
800-839
12%
840-879
9%
880-919
11%
920-959
13%
960-999
11%
1000+
33%
1000+ 33%
920-959 13%
800-839 12%
960-999 11%
$35,754 KL.
$35,754 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
<20
$525 KL.
<1%
20-39
$435 KL.
<1%
40-59
$430 KL.
<1%
60-79
$445 KL.
<1%
80-99
$440 KL.
<1%
100-119
$515 KL.
<1%
120-139
$495 KL.
<1%
140-159
$510 KL.
<1%
160-179
$315 KL.
<1%
180-199
$500 KL.
<1%
200-219
$490 KL.
<1%
220-239
$415 KL.
<1%
240-259
$495 KL.
<1%
260-279
$415 KL.
<1%
280-299
$495 KL.
<1%
300-319
$497 KL.
<1%
320-339
$497 KL.
<1%
340-359
$495 KL.
<1%
360-379
$510 KL.
<1%
380-399
$495 KL.
<1%
400-419
$805 KL.
<1%
420-439
$1,395 KL.
<1%
440-459
$475 KL.
<1%
460-479
$475 KL.
<1%
480-499
$1,610 KL.
<1%
500-519
$204 KL.
<1%
520-539
$255 KL.
<1%
540-559
$270 KL.
<1%
560-579
$235 KL.
<1%
580-599
$855 KL.
<1%
600-619
$244 KL.
1%
620-639
$219 KL.
1%
640-659
$224 KL.
1%
660-679
$219 KL.
1%
680-699
$219 KL.
1%
700-719
$959 KL.
2%
720-739
$992 KL.
2%
740-759
$313 KL.
3%
760-779
$746 KL.
5%
780-799
$1,832 KL.
8%
800-839
$3,463 KL.
12%
840-879
$417 KL.
9%
880-919
$2,136 KL.
11%
920-959
$3,122 KL.
13%
960-999
$1,837 KL.
11%
1000+
$2,820 KL.
33%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s high-volume posting cadence on X drives the current market, where the 1000+ bracket leads at 33% implied probability amid a wide distribution of lower ranges. Recent short-term Polymarket settlements and archive data show daily averages often clustering between 20–30 posts, scaling to monthly totals that frequently exceed 800 during active stretches tied to Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and Starlink developments. October’s proximity to potential product updates and platform milestones could sustain momentum, though variability in his schedule introduces uncertainty across mid-800s and 900s brackets. Traders weigh historical precedent of intense engagement periods against the possibility of moderation during focused business cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,754Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s high-volume posting cadence on X drives the current market, where the 1000+ bracket leads at 33% implied probability amid a wide distribution of lower ranges. Recent short-term Polymarket settlements and archive data show daily averages often clustering between 20–30 posts, scaling to monthly totals that frequently exceed 800 during active stretches tied to Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and Starlink developments. October’s proximity to potential product updates and platform milestones could sustain momentum, though variability in his schedule introduces uncertainty across mid-800s and 900s brackets. Traders weigh historical precedent of intense engagement periods against the possibility of moderation during focused business cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$35,754Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s high-volume posting cadence on X drives the current market, where the 1000+ bracket leads at 33% implied probability amid a wide distribution of lower ranges. Recent short-term Polymarket settlements and archive data show daily averages often clustering between 20–30 posts, scaling to monthly totals that frequently exceed 800 during active stretches tied to Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and Starlink developments. October’s proximity to potential product updates and platform milestones could sustain momentum, though variability in his schedule introduces uncertainty across mid-800s and 900s brackets. Traders weigh historical precedent of intense engagement periods against the possibility of moderation during focused business cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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