**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtElon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
MỚI
$23,508 KL.
MỚI
$23,508 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
<40
9%
40-64
50%
65-89
35%
90-114
13%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
MỚI
$23,508 KL.
MỚI
$23,508 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
<40
$581 KL.
9%
40-64
$78 KL.
50%
65-89
$311 KL.
35%
90-114
$373 KL.
13%
115-139
$199 KL.
1%
140-164
$295 KL.
<1%
165-189
$1,746 KL.
<1%
190-214
$7,088 KL.
<1%
215-239
$7,088 KL.
<1%
240+
$5,818 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,508Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$23,508Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability because historical weekend and early-week patterns show Musk averaging roughly 13–21 posts daily when major breaking news is absent.** Recent similar three-day windows have settled in this band during quieter periods, reflecting lighter engagement outside peak business or political cycles. The 65-89 bracket at 34% accounts for the possibility of moderate catalysts, such as the scheduled Starlink launch on June 15 or ongoing Tesla-related protests. Higher brackets remain discounted given the short timeframe and lack of confirmed high-volume triggers like earnings releases or viral controversies in the immediate lead-up. Traders weigh Musk’s documented baseline output against the weekend timing and limited scheduled events, with the market treating any sudden news surge as the primary swing factor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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