Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 and the subsequent transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader have shifted official communications to measured, statement-based releases rather than frequent social media activity. The primary Khamenei-linked X accounts post irregularly, typically tied to major announcements, televised addresses, or diplomatic signals, resulting in low weekly volumes. Trader consensus for under five posts in the June 12–19 window reflects this established pattern amid a post-conflict environment where routine updates remain limited. No scheduled summits, votes, or high-profile escalations in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger additional output, reinforcing the dominance of the lowest bucket while leaving room for unexpected developments to shift probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 87%
5-9 6%
25-29 4.8%
15-19 3.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 19, 2026
<5
87%
5-9
6%
10-14
4%
15-19
4%
20-24
3%
25-29
5%
30-34
3%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 87%
5-9 6%
25-29 4.8%
15-19 3.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 19, 2026
<5
$294 KL.
87%
5-9
$61 KL.
6%
10-14
$70 KL.
4%
15-19
$80 KL.
4%
20-24
$88 KL.
3%
25-29
$70 KL.
5%
30-34
$73 KL.
3%
35-39
$50 KL.
<1%
40-44
$61 KL.
<1%
45-49
$50 KL.
<1%
50-54
$94 KL.
1%
55-59
$40 KL.
1%
60+
$38 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 and the subsequent transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader have shifted official communications to measured, statement-based releases rather than frequent social media activity. The primary Khamenei-linked X accounts post irregularly, typically tied to major announcements, televised addresses, or diplomatic signals, resulting in low weekly volumes. Trader consensus for under five posts in the June 12–19 window reflects this established pattern amid a post-conflict environment where routine updates remain limited. No scheduled summits, votes, or high-profile escalations in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger additional output, reinforcing the dominance of the lowest bucket while leaving room for unexpected developments to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,069Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 and the subsequent transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader have shifted official communications to measured, statement-based releases rather than frequent social media activity. The primary Khamenei-linked X accounts post irregularly, typically tied to major announcements, televised addresses, or diplomatic signals, resulting in low weekly volumes. Trader consensus for under five posts in the June 12–19 window reflects this established pattern amid a post-conflict environment where routine updates remain limited. No scheduled summits, votes, or high-profile escalations in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger additional output, reinforcing the dominance of the lowest bucket while leaving room for unexpected developments to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,069Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026 and the subsequent transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader have shifted official communications to measured, statement-based releases rather than frequent social media activity. The primary Khamenei-linked X accounts post irregularly, typically tied to major announcements, televised addresses, or diplomatic signals, resulting in low weekly volumes. Trader consensus for under five posts in the June 12–19 window reflects this established pattern amid a post-conflict environment where routine updates remain limited. No scheduled summits, votes, or high-profile escalations in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger additional output, reinforcing the dominance of the lowest bucket while leaving room for unexpected developments to shift probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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