Finland’s frontrunner status at roughly 37-44% creates a structural bias toward a moderate margin, yet stiff competition from Australia’s Delta Goodrem, Greece’s Akylas, and Israel’s televote-heavy entry keeps the field wide open. Rehearsal reactions and semi-final qualifiers have reinforced this parity, with jury-televote splits and staging impact emerging as the main swing factors rather than a single runaway favorite. Historical precedents like 2024’s 44-point gap and 2025’s wider spread further support trader consensus around a 25-49 point victory, while tonight’s grand final in Vienna offers the final window for any late momentum shifts before points lock.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 33%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 10%
$8,579 KL.
$8,579 KL.
May 16, 2026
<25
21%
25-49
33%
50-74
24%
75-99
10%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
6%
25-49 33%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 10%
$8,579 KL.
$8,579 KL.
May 16, 2026
<25
$754 KL.
21%
25-49
$2,255 KL.
33%
50-74
$793 KL.
24%
75-99
$1,447 KL.
10%
100-124
$1,004 KL.
6%
125-149
$893 KL.
5%
150+
$1,434 KL.
6%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s frontrunner status at roughly 37-44% creates a structural bias toward a moderate margin, yet stiff competition from Australia’s Delta Goodrem, Greece’s Akylas, and Israel’s televote-heavy entry keeps the field wide open. Rehearsal reactions and semi-final qualifiers have reinforced this parity, with jury-televote splits and staging impact emerging as the main swing factors rather than a single runaway favorite. Historical precedents like 2024’s 44-point gap and 2025’s wider spread further support trader consensus around a 25-49 point victory, while tonight’s grand final in Vienna offers the final window for any late momentum shifts before points lock.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,579Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s frontrunner status at roughly 37-44% creates a structural bias toward a moderate margin, yet stiff competition from Australia’s Delta Goodrem, Greece’s Akylas, and Israel’s televote-heavy entry keeps the field wide open. Rehearsal reactions and semi-final qualifiers have reinforced this parity, with jury-televote splits and staging impact emerging as the main swing factors rather than a single runaway favorite. Historical precedents like 2024’s 44-point gap and 2025’s wider spread further support trader consensus around a 25-49 point victory, while tonight’s grand final in Vienna offers the final window for any late momentum shifts before points lock.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$8,579Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland’s frontrunner status at roughly 37-44% creates a structural bias toward a moderate margin, yet stiff competition from Australia’s Delta Goodrem, Greece’s Akylas, and Israel’s televote-heavy entry keeps the field wide open. Rehearsal reactions and semi-final qualifiers have reinforced this parity, with jury-televote splits and staging impact emerging as the main swing factors rather than a single runaway favorite. Historical precedents like 2024’s 44-point gap and 2025’s wider spread further support trader consensus around a 25-49 point victory, while tonight’s grand final in Vienna offers the final window for any late momentum shifts before points lock.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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