**Delta Goodrem's powerhouse performance of "Eclipse" in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final has propelled Australia to a dominant 69.5% implied probability as the market's frontrunner for highest combined jury and televote score.** Her commanding vocals, intricate piano staging, and star power shone in Thursday's live show and preceding dress rehearsals, earning widespread praise from fans and pundits while aligning with Australia's strong historical televote pull. Ukraine's Leléka impressed with the heartfelt "Ridnym," leveraging diaspora support for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's energetic DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") rounded out contenders via catchy hooks and solid jury appeal. Among qualifiers like Denmark and Norway, trader consensus reflects rehearsal momentum, but full points reveal at Saturday's Grand Final could spark upsets in this closely watched post-qualification market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,194 KL.
$197,194 KL.
May 12, 2026
Australia
70%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Romania
7%
Denmark
2%
Norway
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,194 KL.
$197,194 KL.
May 12, 2026
Australia
$37,801 KL.
70%
Ukraine
$11,779 KL.
12%
Bulgaria
$11,999 KL.
11%
Romania
$16,254 KL.
7%
Denmark
$45,016 KL.
2%
Norway
$7,900 KL.
<1%
Czechia
$9,186 KL.
<1%
Albania
$7,938 KL.
<1%
Cyprus
$6,922 KL.
<1%
Malta
$8,110 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Delta Goodrem's powerhouse performance of "Eclipse" in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final has propelled Australia to a dominant 69.5% implied probability as the market's frontrunner for highest combined jury and televote score.** Her commanding vocals, intricate piano staging, and star power shone in Thursday's live show and preceding dress rehearsals, earning widespread praise from fans and pundits while aligning with Australia's strong historical televote pull. Ukraine's Leléka impressed with the heartfelt "Ridnym," leveraging diaspora support for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's energetic DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") rounded out contenders via catchy hooks and solid jury appeal. Among qualifiers like Denmark and Norway, trader consensus reflects rehearsal momentum, but full points reveal at Saturday's Grand Final could spark upsets in this closely watched post-qualification market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Khối lượng
$197,194Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Delta Goodrem's powerhouse performance of "Eclipse" in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final has propelled Australia to a dominant 69.5% implied probability as the market's frontrunner for highest combined jury and televote score.** Her commanding vocals, intricate piano staging, and star power shone in Thursday's live show and preceding dress rehearsals, earning widespread praise from fans and pundits while aligning with Australia's strong historical televote pull. Ukraine's Leléka impressed with the heartfelt "Ridnym," leveraging diaspora support for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's energetic DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") rounded out contenders via catchy hooks and solid jury appeal. Among qualifiers like Denmark and Norway, trader consensus reflects rehearsal momentum, but full points reveal at Saturday's Grand Final could spark upsets in this closely watched post-qualification market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$197,194Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Delta Goodrem's powerhouse performance of "Eclipse" in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final has propelled Australia to a dominant 69.5% implied probability as the market's frontrunner for highest combined jury and televote score.** Her commanding vocals, intricate piano staging, and star power shone in Thursday's live show and preceding dress rehearsals, earning widespread praise from fans and pundits while aligning with Australia's strong historical televote pull. Ukraine's Leléka impressed with the heartfelt "Ridnym," leveraging diaspora support for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's energetic DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") rounded out contenders via catchy hooks and solid jury appeal. Among qualifiers like Denmark and Norway, trader consensus reflects rehearsal momentum, but full points reveal at Saturday's Grand Final could spark upsets in this closely watched post-qualification market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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