Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Australia at 64.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final, propelled by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" dominating recent dress rehearsals and jury shows with its visually stunning light-and-shadow staging, unique pyro effects, and note-perfect vocals that impressed press and preview models. Romania (12.7%) and Ukraine (12.4%) trail closely, buoyed by Alexandra Căpitănescu's powerhouse delivery and LELÉKA's emotionally resonant "Ridnym," respectively, while Bulgaria (10.9%) surged post-rehearsals on Dara's high-energy "Bangaranga." Australia's televote strength from diaspora support and historical semi-final momentum solidify its frontrunner status ahead of tonight's live show at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where jury and public votes will decide the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's Grand Final.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 65%
Romania 12.7%
Ukraine 12.4%
Bulgaria 10.9%
$186,227 KL.
$186,227 KL.
May 12, 2026
Australia
65%
Romania
13%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Denmark
2%
Czechia
2%
Albania
1%
Cyprus
1%
Norway
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 65%
Romania 12.7%
Ukraine 12.4%
Bulgaria 10.9%
$186,227 KL.
$186,227 KL.
May 12, 2026
Australia
$34,745 KL.
65%
Romania
$14,676 KL.
13%
Ukraine
$11,252 KL.
12%
Bulgaria
$10,387 KL.
11%
Denmark
$44,681 KL.
2%
Czechia
$8,389 KL.
2%
Albania
$6,345 KL.
1%
Cyprus
$6,851 KL.
1%
Norway
$6,476 KL.
<1%
Malta
$8,110 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Australia at 64.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final, propelled by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" dominating recent dress rehearsals and jury shows with its visually stunning light-and-shadow staging, unique pyro effects, and note-perfect vocals that impressed press and preview models. Romania (12.7%) and Ukraine (12.4%) trail closely, buoyed by Alexandra Căpitănescu's powerhouse delivery and LELÉKA's emotionally resonant "Ridnym," respectively, while Bulgaria (10.9%) surged post-rehearsals on Dara's high-energy "Bangaranga." Australia's televote strength from diaspora support and historical semi-final momentum solidify its frontrunner status ahead of tonight's live show at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where jury and public votes will decide the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Khối lượng
$186,227Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Australia at 64.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final, propelled by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" dominating recent dress rehearsals and jury shows with its visually stunning light-and-shadow staging, unique pyro effects, and note-perfect vocals that impressed press and preview models. Romania (12.7%) and Ukraine (12.4%) trail closely, buoyed by Alexandra Căpitănescu's powerhouse delivery and LELÉKA's emotionally resonant "Ridnym," respectively, while Bulgaria (10.9%) surged post-rehearsals on Dara's high-energy "Bangaranga." Australia's televote strength from diaspora support and historical semi-final momentum solidify its frontrunner status ahead of tonight's live show at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where jury and public votes will decide the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$186,227Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Australia at 64.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final, propelled by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" dominating recent dress rehearsals and jury shows with its visually stunning light-and-shadow staging, unique pyro effects, and note-perfect vocals that impressed press and preview models. Romania (12.7%) and Ukraine (12.4%) trail closely, buoyed by Alexandra Căpitănescu's powerhouse delivery and LELÉKA's emotionally resonant "Ridnym," respectively, while Bulgaria (10.9%) surged post-rehearsals on Dara's high-energy "Bangaranga." Australia's televote strength from diaspora support and historical semi-final momentum solidify its frontrunner status ahead of tonight's live show at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where jury and public votes will decide the top 10 qualifiers for Saturday's Grand Final.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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