Australia leads the market at 75.5% implied probability because Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse” delivered a standout live performance in Vienna, earning strong jury support and televote momentum during the second semi-final. Traders are pricing in her established international profile and the song’s broad appeal, which historically boosts mid-pack entries into semi-final contention. Bulgaria’s 12.8% reflects Dara’s energetic “Bangaranga” gaining traction from rehearsal buzz and diaspora voting, while Ukraine’s 5.8% tracks Leléka’s “Ridnym” as a solid but secondary televote option. With qualifiers already confirmed and the grand final just days away, Australia’s frontrunner status rests on consistent pre-show tracking and live execution rather than late surprises.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 76%
Bulgaria 12.8%
Ukraine 5.8%
Denmark 1.8%
$211,769 KL.
$211,769 KL.
May 12, 2026
Australia
76%
Bulgaria
13%
Ukraine
6%
Denmark
2%
Norway
1%
Romania
1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 76%
Bulgaria 12.8%
Ukraine 5.8%
Denmark 1.8%
$211,769 KL.
$211,769 KL.
May 12, 2026
Australia
$41,839 KL.
76%
Bulgaria
$14,699 KL.
13%
Ukraine
$13,989 KL.
6%
Denmark
$46,262 KL.
2%
Norway
$9,016 KL.
1%
Romania
$17,704 KL.
1%
Albania
$9,109 KL.
<1%
Cyprus
$6,922 KL.
<1%
Czechia
$9,803 KL.
<1%
Malta
$8,110 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia leads the market at 75.5% implied probability because Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse” delivered a standout live performance in Vienna, earning strong jury support and televote momentum during the second semi-final. Traders are pricing in her established international profile and the song’s broad appeal, which historically boosts mid-pack entries into semi-final contention. Bulgaria’s 12.8% reflects Dara’s energetic “Bangaranga” gaining traction from rehearsal buzz and diaspora voting, while Ukraine’s 5.8% tracks Leléka’s “Ridnym” as a solid but secondary televote option. With qualifiers already confirmed and the grand final just days away, Australia’s frontrunner status rests on consistent pre-show tracking and live execution rather than late surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Khối lượng
$211,769Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia leads the market at 75.5% implied probability because Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse” delivered a standout live performance in Vienna, earning strong jury support and televote momentum during the second semi-final. Traders are pricing in her established international profile and the song’s broad appeal, which historically boosts mid-pack entries into semi-final contention. Bulgaria’s 12.8% reflects Dara’s energetic “Bangaranga” gaining traction from rehearsal buzz and diaspora voting, while Ukraine’s 5.8% tracks Leléka’s “Ridnym” as a solid but secondary televote option. With qualifiers already confirmed and the grand final just days away, Australia’s frontrunner status rests on consistent pre-show tracking and live execution rather than late surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$211,769Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia leads the market at 75.5% implied probability because Delta Goodrem’s polished ballad “Eclipse” delivered a standout live performance in Vienna, earning strong jury support and televote momentum during the second semi-final. Traders are pricing in her established international profile and the song’s broad appeal, which historically boosts mid-pack entries into semi-final contention. Bulgaria’s 12.8% reflects Dara’s energetic “Bangaranga” gaining traction from rehearsal buzz and diaspora voting, while Ukraine’s 5.8% tracks Leléka’s “Ridnym” as a solid but secondary televote option. With qualifiers already confirmed and the grand final just days away, Australia’s frontrunner status rests on consistent pre-show tracking and live execution rather than late surprises.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp