The Esports World Cup 2026 chess finals feature an expanded 22-player field in Paris, with a new play-in phase and $1.5 million prize pool, creating a wide-open race reflected in the bunched implied probabilities. Magnus Carlsen enters as defending champion with the highest share after recent classical and freestyle successes, including a TePe Sigeman victory, yet the depth of qualifiers via CCT circuit points, Speed Chess Championship, and Chess.com events keeps contenders like Alireza Firouzja, Hikaru Nakamura, Ian Nepomniachtchi, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, and Arjun Erigaisi tightly grouped. Strong recent form, head-to-head records, and rapid/blitz formats common at EWC amplify uncertainty in a single-elimination structure where any top grandmaster can advance on a given day. Trader consensus prices this parity through balanced shares across the field rather than a dominant favorite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMagnus Carlsen 48%
Denis Lazavik 30%
Hikaru Nakamura 30%
Sina Movahed 30%
Magnus Carlsen
44%
Denis Lazavik
30%
Hikaru Nakamura
30%
Sina Movahed
30%
Benjamin Bok
30%
Aleksej Sarana
29%
Andrey Esipenko
29%
Nihal Sarin
29%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
29%
Alireza Firouzja
29%
Hans Moke Niemann
29%
Arjun Erigaisi
29%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
27%
Pranesh Munirethinam
27%
Wei Yi
23%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
23%
Magnus Carlsen 48%
Denis Lazavik 30%
Hikaru Nakamura 30%
Sina Movahed 30%
Magnus Carlsen
44%
Denis Lazavik
30%
Hikaru Nakamura
30%
Sina Movahed
30%
Benjamin Bok
30%
Aleksej Sarana
29%
Andrey Esipenko
29%
Nihal Sarin
29%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
29%
Alireza Firouzja
29%
Hans Moke Niemann
29%
Arjun Erigaisi
29%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
27%
Pranesh Munirethinam
27%
Wei Yi
23%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
23%
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Esports World Cup 2026 chess finals feature an expanded 22-player field in Paris, with a new play-in phase and $1.5 million prize pool, creating a wide-open race reflected in the bunched implied probabilities. Magnus Carlsen enters as defending champion with the highest share after recent classical and freestyle successes, including a TePe Sigeman victory, yet the depth of qualifiers via CCT circuit points, Speed Chess Championship, and Chess.com events keeps contenders like Alireza Firouzja, Hikaru Nakamura, Ian Nepomniachtchi, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, and Arjun Erigaisi tightly grouped. Strong recent form, head-to-head records, and rapid/blitz formats common at EWC amplify uncertainty in a single-elimination structure where any top grandmaster can advance on a given day. Trader consensus prices this parity through balanced shares across the field rather than a dominant favorite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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