Trader consensus prices USA at 41.5% and Türkiye at 36% implied probability to win Group D, capturing the razor-thin margins in a balanced matchup featuring four mid-tier sides per FIFA rankings (USA 16th, Türkiye 22nd, Australia 27th, Paraguay lower). Recent friendlies highlight the volatility: USMNT edged Paraguay and Australia 2-1 last year but fell 2-1 to Türkiye in June 2025, fueling doubts despite home-soil edges as co-hosts. Türkiye's gritty March playoff win over Kosovo sustains momentum from a strong UEFA campaign, while Paraguay's CONMEBOL qualifiers included upsets over Brazil and Argentina, boosting their 17.5% shot. Australia's resilience keeps them live but trails at 7.5%, with group advancement hinging on early results like USA vs. Paraguay opener.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUSA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.2%
$44,273 KL.
$44,273 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
7%
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.2%
$44,273 KL.
$44,273 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
$12,862 KL.
41%
Türkiye
$17,316 KL.
36%
Paraguay
$8,607 KL.
18%
Australia
$5,516 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices USA at 41.5% and Türkiye at 36% implied probability to win Group D, capturing the razor-thin margins in a balanced matchup featuring four mid-tier sides per FIFA rankings (USA 16th, Türkiye 22nd, Australia 27th, Paraguay lower). Recent friendlies highlight the volatility: USMNT edged Paraguay and Australia 2-1 last year but fell 2-1 to Türkiye in June 2025, fueling doubts despite home-soil edges as co-hosts. Türkiye's gritty March playoff win over Kosovo sustains momentum from a strong UEFA campaign, while Paraguay's CONMEBOL qualifiers included upsets over Brazil and Argentina, boosting their 17.5% shot. Australia's resilience keeps them live but trails at 7.5%, with group advancement hinging on early results like USA vs. Paraguay opener.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$44,273Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices USA at 41.5% and Türkiye at 36% implied probability to win Group D, capturing the razor-thin margins in a balanced matchup featuring four mid-tier sides per FIFA rankings (USA 16th, Türkiye 22nd, Australia 27th, Paraguay lower). Recent friendlies highlight the volatility: USMNT edged Paraguay and Australia 2-1 last year but fell 2-1 to Türkiye in June 2025, fueling doubts despite home-soil edges as co-hosts. Türkiye's gritty March playoff win over Kosovo sustains momentum from a strong UEFA campaign, while Paraguay's CONMEBOL qualifiers included upsets over Brazil and Argentina, boosting their 17.5% shot. Australia's resilience keeps them live but trails at 7.5%, with group advancement hinging on early results like USA vs. Paraguay opener.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$44,273Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA at 41.5% and Türkiye at 36% implied probability to win Group D, capturing the razor-thin margins in a balanced matchup featuring four mid-tier sides per FIFA rankings (USA 16th, Türkiye 22nd, Australia 27th, Paraguay lower). Recent friendlies highlight the volatility: USMNT edged Paraguay and Australia 2-1 last year but fell 2-1 to Türkiye in June 2025, fueling doubts despite home-soil edges as co-hosts. Türkiye's gritty March playoff win over Kosovo sustains momentum from a strong UEFA campaign, while Paraguay's CONMEBOL qualifiers included upsets over Brazil and Argentina, boosting their 17.5% shot. Australia's resilience keeps them live but trails at 7.5%, with group advancement hinging on early results like USA vs. Paraguay opener.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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