Current low influenza activity in late August drives the near-even odds around the 0.1 hospitalization threshold, as CDC surveillance typically records minimal confirmed cases and admissions during summer months when respiratory virus circulation remains suppressed. Historical baselines show rates well below 0.1 per 100,000 outside peak season, with current model consensus and early sentinel data reinforcing subdued transmission dynamics. Differentiating factors include potential early strain emergence, vaccination uptake trends, or anomalous weather patterns that could accelerate spread and tip rates higher, while stable surveillance reporting through week 33 supports the slight market edge for the sub-0.1 outcome. Updated CDC FluView releases in coming days will provide key resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 33, 2026?
<0.1 52%
0.1 49%
>0.1 49%
<0.1
52%
0.1
49%
>0.1
49%
<0.1 52%
0.1 49%
>0.1 49%
<0.1
52%
0.1
49%
>0.1
49%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current low influenza activity in late August drives the near-even odds around the 0.1 hospitalization threshold, as CDC surveillance typically records minimal confirmed cases and admissions during summer months when respiratory virus circulation remains suppressed. Historical baselines show rates well below 0.1 per 100,000 outside peak season, with current model consensus and early sentinel data reinforcing subdued transmission dynamics. Differentiating factors include potential early strain emergence, vaccination uptake trends, or anomalous weather patterns that could accelerate spread and tip rates higher, while stable surveillance reporting through week 33 supports the slight market edge for the sub-0.1 outcome. Updated CDC FluView releases in coming days will provide key resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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