Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 1?
23°C 27%
21°C 21%
24°C 18%
22°C 16%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
23°C 27%
21°C 21%
24°C 18%
22°C 16%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high near 23°C for Amsterdam on July 1, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow ahead of an incoming Atlantic trough. This places the modal outcome in the 22–24°C band, where trader probabilities cluster tightly. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, variable cloud cover, and potential for afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty that keeps 21°C competitive. Historical early-July averages near 21–22°C provide context, while the short lead time means fresh model updates on wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and insolation could quickly shift implied probabilities among the closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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