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Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?

icon for Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?

Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?

31°C 22%

32°C 19%

29°C 16%

30°C 14%

Polymarket
MỚI

31°C 22%

32°C 19%

29°C 16%

30°C 14%

Polymarket
MỚI

25°C or below

$335 KL.

2%

26°C

$0 KL.

3%

27°C

$6 KL.

4%

28°C

$2 KL.

10%

29°C

$0 KL.

16%

30°C

$0 KL.

14%

31°C

$0 KL.

22%

32°C

$6 KL.

19%

33°C

$0 KL.

6%

34°C

$99 KL.

4%

35°C or higher

$34 KL.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$476
Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$476
Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 11 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "31°C" ở mức 23%, tiếp theo là "32°C" ở mức 19%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 23¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 23% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Jun 29, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?," duyệt 11 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?" là "31°C" ở mức 23%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 23% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "32°C" ở mức 19%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.