Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?
31°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 16%
30°C 14%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 22%
32°C 19%
29°C 16%
30°C 14%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp