**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on June 27?
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 28%
92-93°F 25%
98-99°F 12%
$15,498 KL.
$15,498 KL.
91°F or below
4%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 28%
92-93°F 25%
98-99°F 12%
$15,498 KL.
$15,498 KL.
91°F or below
4%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp