Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
$5 KL.
1%
28°C
$68 KL.
1%
29°C
$5 KL.
4%
30°C
$25 KL.
9%
31°C
$132 KL.
14%
32°C
$162 KL.
32%
33°C
$91 KL.
36%
34°C
$17 KL.
13%
35°C
$15 KL.
5%
36°C
$10 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$16 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$546Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$546Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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