Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a low of 19–21°C for Beijing on September 2 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high pressure supporting radiative cooling overnight. Historical averages for the date hover near 19°C, while recent late-August warmth has sustained elevated minima without significant cold-air advection. The closely matched market odds around 20°C versus lower thresholds reflect model consensus on stable conditions tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud cover, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift nighttime minima by 1–3°C. Traders weigh these variables against the high likelihood of continued mild advection from the south.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on September 2?
20°C 92%
19°C 89%
18°C 85%
15°C 83%
13°C or below
50%
14°C
47%
15°C
83%
16°C
31%
17°C
47%
18°C
85%
19°C
89%
20°C
92%
21°C
80%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
48%
20°C 92%
19°C 89%
18°C 85%
15°C 83%
13°C or below
50%
14°C
47%
15°C
83%
16°C
31%
17°C
47%
18°C
85%
19°C
89%
20°C
92%
21°C
80%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a low of 19–21°C for Beijing on September 2 under clear to mostly clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high pressure supporting radiative cooling overnight. Historical averages for the date hover near 19°C, while recent late-August warmth has sustained elevated minima without significant cold-air advection. The closely matched market odds around 20°C versus lower thresholds reflect model consensus on stable conditions tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud cover, dew point depression, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift nighttime minima by 1–3°C. Traders weigh these variables against the high likelihood of continued mild advection from the south.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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