Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 89–91°F in Chicago on August 31, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warmer air amid mostly cloudy skies and only slight shower chances. This aligns closely with the market's tight clustering on the 88–91°F bins, where minor differences in cloud cover, wind speeds of 10–15 mph, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical August normals near 81°F provide context for the elevated reading, while ensemble spread and potential for convective cooling introduce remaining uncertainty ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
90-91°F 34%
88-89°F 32%
92-93°F 13%
86-87°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 34%
88-89°F 32%
92-93°F 13%
86-87°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
81°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
2%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
3%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
12%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
32%
90-91°F
$1,082 KL.
34%
92-93°F
$147 KL.
13%
94-95°F
$17 KL.
5%
96-97°F
$0 KL.
<1%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
<1%
100°F or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 89–91°F in Chicago on August 31, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warmer air amid mostly cloudy skies and only slight shower chances. This aligns closely with the market's tight clustering on the 88–91°F bins, where minor differences in cloud cover, wind speeds of 10–15 mph, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical August normals near 81°F provide context for the elevated reading, while ensemble spread and potential for convective cooling introduce remaining uncertainty ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,246Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 89–91°F in Chicago on August 31, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warmer air amid mostly cloudy skies and only slight shower chances. This aligns closely with the market's tight clustering on the 88–91°F bins, where minor differences in cloud cover, wind speeds of 10–15 mph, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical August normals near 81°F provide context for the elevated reading, while ensemble spread and potential for convective cooling introduce remaining uncertainty ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,246Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 89–91°F in Chicago on August 31, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warmer air amid mostly cloudy skies and only slight shower chances. This aligns closely with the market's tight clustering on the 88–91°F bins, where minor differences in cloud cover, wind speeds of 10–15 mph, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical August normals near 81°F provide context for the elevated reading, while ensemble spread and potential for convective cooling introduce remaining uncertainty ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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