Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and enhance mixing. These conditions align with late-summer Atlantic flow, keeping temperatures below the 24.1°C climatological average while preventing stronger radiative warming. Slight model spread around peak values—tied to exact rain timing and wind gusts—explains the tight clustering on 22°C and 23°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 24°C or above reflecting suppressed insolation. Real-time observations and updated runs will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
23°C 34%
22°C 30%
24°C 18%
21°C 15%
$33,788 KL.
$33,788 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
30%
23°C
34%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
9%
23°C 34%
22°C 30%
24°C 18%
21°C 15%
$33,788 KL.
$33,788 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
30%
23°C
34%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a high near 22–23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and enhance mixing. These conditions align with late-summer Atlantic flow, keeping temperatures below the 24.1°C climatological average while preventing stronger radiative warming. Slight model spread around peak values—tied to exact rain timing and wind gusts—explains the tight clustering on 22°C and 23°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 24°C or above reflecting suppressed insolation. Real-time observations and updated runs will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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