Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Tokyo on August 29, driven by a lingering frontal system that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a daily maximum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal climatological peak around 31°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress surface heating while moderate northeasterly flow maintains higher humidity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities—led by 27°C at 39.5% and 28°C at 28.5%—aligns closely with ensemble guidance showing limited potential for brief clearing that could allow brief spikes to 29°C or higher. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which could further cap or slightly elevate the peak depending on convective development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 16%
29°C 11%
MỚI
$10,587 KL.
MỚI
$10,587 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 16%
29°C 11%
MỚI
$10,587 KL.
MỚI
$10,587 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 KL.
<1%
24°C
$587 KL.
1%
25°C
$369 KL.
6%
26°C
$2,462 KL.
16%
27°C
$1,178 KL.
40%
28°C
$1,049 KL.
29%
29°C
$1,322 KL.
11%
30°C
$888 KL.
3%
31°C
$115 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$175 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Tokyo on August 29, driven by a lingering frontal system that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a daily maximum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal climatological peak around 31°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress surface heating while moderate northeasterly flow maintains higher humidity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities—led by 27°C at 39.5% and 28°C at 28.5%—aligns closely with ensemble guidance showing limited potential for brief clearing that could allow brief spikes to 29°C or higher. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which could further cap or slightly elevate the peak depending on convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,587Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Tokyo on August 29, driven by a lingering frontal system that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a daily maximum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal climatological peak around 31°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress surface heating while moderate northeasterly flow maintains higher humidity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities—led by 27°C at 39.5% and 28°C at 28.5%—aligns closely with ensemble guidance showing limited potential for brief clearing that could allow brief spikes to 29°C or higher. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which could further cap or slightly elevate the peak depending on convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,587Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Tokyo on August 29, driven by a lingering frontal system that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a daily maximum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal climatological peak around 31°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress surface heating while moderate northeasterly flow maintains higher humidity. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities—led by 27°C at 39.5% and 28°C at 28.5%—aligns closely with ensemble guidance showing limited potential for brief clearing that could allow brief spikes to 29°C or higher. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which could further cap or slightly elevate the peak depending on convective development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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