Recent forecasts from Yandex Weather, Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, and international models (Met Office, GFS ensembles) converge on a daytime high of 21–22°C for Moscow on August 30 under variable cloudiness and light southerly flow, with possible brief showers. This stable late-August pattern, typical for the region’s climatological baseline near 20–21°C, positions 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. No major model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, though minor ensemble spreads around cloud cover and wind could allow 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Official station readings will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments providing the last catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
21°C 44%
22°C 27%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
22°C 27%
20°C 18%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Yandex Weather, Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center, and international models (Met Office, GFS ensembles) converge on a daytime high of 21–22°C for Moscow on August 30 under variable cloudiness and light southerly flow, with possible brief showers. This stable late-August pattern, typical for the region’s climatological baseline near 20–21°C, positions 21°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. No major model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, though minor ensemble spreads around cloud cover and wind could allow 20°C or 23°C outcomes. Official station readings will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments providing the last catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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