Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources indicate Sao Paulo's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall near 19–21°C under a lingering warm, dry air mass with light winds and partial cloud cover, following several days of elevated temperatures above seasonal norms. Ensemble runs show modest spread in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds near 18°C versus 17°C or below. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, but the current pattern favors milder readings until a stronger frontal system arrives early next week. Market-implied odds near 49% for 17°C or lower reflect trader weighting of these model divergences and the potential for localized variations in urban heat islands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
17°C or below 49%
19°C 47%
18°C 46%
20°C 45%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
49%
18°C
46%
19°C
47%
20°C
45%
21°C
45%
22°C
17%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 49%
19°C 47%
18°C 46%
20°C 45%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1 KL.
49%
18°C
$1 KL.
46%
19°C
$0 KL.
47%
20°C
$0 KL.
45%
21°C
$0 KL.
45%
22°C
$50 KL.
17%
23°C
$360 KL.
<1%
24°C
$281 KL.
<1%
25°C
$52 KL.
<1%
26°C
$62 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$310 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources indicate Sao Paulo's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall near 19–21°C under a lingering warm, dry air mass with light winds and partial cloud cover, following several days of elevated temperatures above seasonal norms. Ensemble runs show modest spread in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds near 18°C versus 17°C or below. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, but the current pattern favors milder readings until a stronger frontal system arrives early next week. Market-implied odds near 49% for 17°C or lower reflect trader weighting of these model divergences and the potential for localized variations in urban heat islands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,117Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources indicate Sao Paulo's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall near 19–21°C under a lingering warm, dry air mass with light winds and partial cloud cover, following several days of elevated temperatures above seasonal norms. Ensemble runs show modest spread in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds near 18°C versus 17°C or below. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, but the current pattern favors milder readings until a stronger frontal system arrives early next week. Market-implied odds near 49% for 17°C or lower reflect trader weighting of these model divergences and the potential for localized variations in urban heat islands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,117Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources indicate Sao Paulo's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall near 19–21°C under a lingering warm, dry air mass with light winds and partial cloud cover, following several days of elevated temperatures above seasonal norms. Ensemble runs show modest spread in radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds near 18°C versus 17°C or below. Historical August minima average 13–15°C, but the current pattern favors milder readings until a stronger frontal system arrives early next week. Market-implied odds near 49% for 17°C or lower reflect trader weighting of these model divergences and the potential for localized variations in urban heat islands.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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