**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34°C on August 29 in São Paulo, with 33°C and 35°C also receiving significant weight.** Current forecasts from multiple models show highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s under a warm, dry air mass advecting northward, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 25-40%, and minimal cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and regional services points to 32-34°C, aligning closely with the market's top outcomes. This pattern reflects above-normal late-winter warmth before a cooler, rainier regime arrives early next week, with no major model disagreements or disruptive factors noted in the latest runs. Final official station readings will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
34°C 44%
33°C 29%
35°C 15%
32°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
29%
34°C
44%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
33°C 29%
35°C 15%
32°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
29%
34°C
44%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34°C on August 29 in São Paulo, with 33°C and 35°C also receiving significant weight.** Current forecasts from multiple models show highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s under a warm, dry air mass advecting northward, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 25-40%, and minimal cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and regional services points to 32-34°C, aligning closely with the market's top outcomes. This pattern reflects above-normal late-winter warmth before a cooler, rainier regime arrives early next week, with no major model disagreements or disruptive factors noted in the latest runs. Final official station readings will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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