Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate substantial uncertainty in Milan’s peak temperature on August 28 due to evolving atmospheric instability. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover are forecast to develop midday, potentially suppressing surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals could allow readings near or above 30 °C. Late-August climatology for the Po Valley shows typical highs of 27–29 °C, providing context for the spread. Traders are weighting the balance between convective inhibition and diurnal warming, with fresh model guidance and observational updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 28?
24°C 38%
28°C 32%
27°C 27%
26°C 24%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
38%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
19%
24°C 38%
28°C 32%
27°C 27%
26°C 24%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
38%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate substantial uncertainty in Milan’s peak temperature on August 28 due to evolving atmospheric instability. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover are forecast to develop midday, potentially suppressing surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals could allow readings near or above 30 °C. Late-August climatology for the Po Valley shows typical highs of 27–29 °C, providing context for the spread. Traders are weighting the balance between convective inhibition and diurnal warming, with fresh model guidance and observational updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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