Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by low-pressure areas and the recent passage of Typhoon Obet (Saudel), drives scattered to heavy thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover across Metro Manila on August 28. Official PAGASA outlooks indicate moderate-to-heavy rainfall (50–100 mm) through Friday, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima. Latest model guidance and station forecasts converge on highs of 28–30 °C (83–86 °F), with historical August climatology near 30–31 °C providing context. Strong El Niño conditions this season add background warmth but do not override the short-term monsoon suppression. Traders price broad uncertainty across temperature bins because small shifts in rain timing, cloud thickness, or wind direction can move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, with the next PAGASA bulletins and high-resolution model runs the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 28?
23°C or below 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
23°C or below
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
100%
23°C or below 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
23°C or below
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by low-pressure areas and the recent passage of Typhoon Obet (Saudel), drives scattered to heavy thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover across Metro Manila on August 28. Official PAGASA outlooks indicate moderate-to-heavy rainfall (50–100 mm) through Friday, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima. Latest model guidance and station forecasts converge on highs of 28–30 °C (83–86 °F), with historical August climatology near 30–31 °C providing context. Strong El Niño conditions this season add background warmth but do not override the short-term monsoon suppression. Traders price broad uncertainty across temperature bins because small shifts in rain timing, cloud thickness, or wind direction can move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, with the next PAGASA bulletins and high-resolution model runs the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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