Latest forecast models converge on a daytime high of 28–30 °C for Paris on 26 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with the majority centering near 29 °C. This consensus, drawn from sources including Météo-France equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles, reflects typical late-summer conditions without an established heat dome or strong cold front. Southerly advection of milder maritime air, modest insolation under variable cloud cover, and dew points in the low teens Celsius support peak readings in this narrow band while limiting upside to the low 30s. Recent model runs show little shift over the past 24–48 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around the 29 °C bin at 42.5 % implied probability, followed by 30 °C and 28 °C. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
29°C 43%
30°C 27%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
43%
30°C
27%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
30°C 27%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
43%
30°C
27%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models converge on a daytime high of 28–30 °C for Paris on 26 August 2026 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with the majority centering near 29 °C. This consensus, drawn from sources including Météo-France equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles, reflects typical late-summer conditions without an established heat dome or strong cold front. Southerly advection of milder maritime air, modest insolation under variable cloud cover, and dew points in the low teens Celsius support peak readings in this narrow band while limiting upside to the low 30s. Recent model runs show little shift over the past 24–48 hours, anchoring trader sentiment around the 29 °C bin at 42.5 % implied probability, followed by 30 °C and 28 °C. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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