Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and regional analyses show consensus for a maximum temperature near 31°C in Karachi on August 27, driven by typical late-summer conditions: moderate southwest monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea keeping daytime highs from exceeding the recent 30–32°C range observed in late August. Historical climatology for the date centers on 27–31°C, with low precipitation probability and steady westerly winds of 15–25 mph limiting extreme heating. Trader emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes aligns with this stable forecast signal and the absence of heatwave indicators or major model shifts as of August 25. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with further model runs expected to refine confidence before the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 27?
31°C 46%
32°C 30%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
46%
32°C
30%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 30%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
46%
32°C
30%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and regional analyses show consensus for a maximum temperature near 31°C in Karachi on August 27, driven by typical late-summer conditions: moderate southwest monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea keeping daytime highs from exceeding the recent 30–32°C range observed in late August. Historical climatology for the date centers on 27–31°C, with low precipitation probability and steady westerly winds of 15–25 mph limiting extreme heating. Trader emphasis on 31°C and 32°C outcomes aligns with this stable forecast signal and the absence of heatwave indicators or major model shifts as of August 25. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with further model runs expected to refine confidence before the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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