Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
30°C 25%
31°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
19%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
30°C 25%
31°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$87 KL.
3%
26°C
$14 KL.
6%
27°C
$7 KL.
11%
28°C
$26 KL.
24%
29°C
$38 KL.
25%
30°C
$85 KL.
19%
31°C
$2 KL.
13%
32°C
$50 KL.
4%
33°C
$0 KL.
5%
34°C
$0 KL.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$309Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$309Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus points to increased cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 27, shifting trader focus toward the 28–30°C outcomes that together exceed 85% implied probability. Official guidance highlights overcast conditions and passing precipitation that limit daytime heating relative to clearer late-summer patterns, while ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in exact peak values depending on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler readings, explaining the tight clustering around 29–30°C alongside meaningful support for 28°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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