Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office, BBC, and AccuWeather indicates a daily maximum of 35–37°C for Wuhan on August 27 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with historical late-August climatology (33–38°C highs) near the Yangtze River basin and recent observations around 35–36°C. A developing El Niño event, with over 80% probability through summer 2026 per WMO guidance, is contributing to above-normal global and regional temperatures, though local steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high introduce some forecast spread. Market-implied odds favor 37–39°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation of peak heat amid evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
38°C 40%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
26%
38°C
40%
39°C
28%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
38°C 40%
39°C 28%
37°C 26%
36°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
32°C or below
$419 KL.
<1%
33°C
$361 KL.
<1%
34°C
$0 KL.
1%
35°C
$10 KL.
3%
36°C
$12 KL.
7%
37°C
$20 KL.
26%
38°C
$60 KL.
40%
39°C
$25 KL.
28%
40°C
$70 KL.
3%
41°C
$0 KL.
1%
42°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office, BBC, and AccuWeather indicates a daily maximum of 35–37°C for Wuhan on August 27 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with historical late-August climatology (33–38°C highs) near the Yangtze River basin and recent observations around 35–36°C. A developing El Niño event, with over 80% probability through summer 2026 per WMO guidance, is contributing to above-normal global and regional temperatures, though local steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high introduce some forecast spread. Market-implied odds favor 37–39°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation of peak heat amid evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$978Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office, BBC, and AccuWeather indicates a daily maximum of 35–37°C for Wuhan on August 27 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with historical late-August climatology (33–38°C highs) near the Yangtze River basin and recent observations around 35–36°C. A developing El Niño event, with over 80% probability through summer 2026 per WMO guidance, is contributing to above-normal global and regional temperatures, though local steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high introduce some forecast spread. Market-implied odds favor 37–39°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation of peak heat amid evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$978Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office, BBC, and AccuWeather indicates a daily maximum of 35–37°C for Wuhan on August 27 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with historical late-August climatology (33–38°C highs) near the Yangtze River basin and recent observations around 35–36°C. A developing El Niño event, with over 80% probability through summer 2026 per WMO guidance, is contributing to above-normal global and regional temperatures, though local steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high introduce some forecast spread. Market-implied odds favor 37–39°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation of peak heat amid evolving atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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