Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
31°C 34%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$479 KL.
<1%
26°C
$529 KL.
<1%
27°C
$166 KL.
1%
28°C
$110 KL.
6%
29°C
$5 KL.
8%
30°C
$7 KL.
19%
31°C
$46 KL.
34%
32°C
$66 KL.
21%
33°C
$108 KL.
11%
34°C
$54 KL.
5%
35°C or higher
$49 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,619Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,619Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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