Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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