Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models show Sunday's high in Seattle clustering in the low to mid-70s, driven by an approaching upper-level low that has cooled the air mass after recent warmer days while allowing gradual clearing of morning stratus and high clouds. Light northerly winds and residual marine moisture limit full solar heating, keeping temperatures below the August climatological average of around 76°F and capping upside potential. Ensemble spread and timing differences in cloud dissipation create roughly equal market-implied odds across the 68–75°F bins, with only low probability assigned to 78°F+ outcomes that would require stronger ridging or faster clearing than currently indicated. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models show Sunday's high in Seattle clustering in the low to mid-70s, driven by an approaching upper-level low that has cooled the air mass after recent warmer days while allowing gradual clearing of morning stratus and high clouds. Light northerly winds and residual marine moisture limit full solar heating, keeping temperatures below the August climatological average of around 76°F and capping upside potential. Ensemble spread and timing differences in cloud dissipation create roughly equal market-implied odds across the 68–75°F bins, with only low probability assigned to 78°F+ outcomes that would require stronger ridging or faster clearing than currently indicated. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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