Current forecasts for Jinan on August 23, 2026, show daytime maxima of 32–35°C across multiple models and agencies, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and light easterly flow. This aligns with climatological August highs near 31°C and recent observations exceeding 33°C, placing 26°C or higher at a 95.5% market-implied probability. Trader consensus reflects strong agreement among ensemble runs that any showers will remain scattered and insufficient to suppress afternoon peaks. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or major model bias shifting the maximum below 26°C, an outcome historically rare in late August without clear synoptic signals currently absent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Jinan on August 23, 2026, show daytime maxima of 32–35°C across multiple models and agencies, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and light easterly flow. This aligns with climatological August highs near 31°C and recent observations exceeding 33°C, placing 26°C or higher at a 95.5% market-implied probability. Trader consensus reflects strong agreement among ensemble runs that any showers will remain scattered and insufficient to suppress afternoon peaks. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or major model bias shifting the maximum below 26°C, an outcome historically rare in late August without clear synoptic signals currently absent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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