Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
18°C or below 99%
28°C or higher 97%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
99%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
97%
18°C or below 99%
28°C or higher 97%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$5 KL.
99%
19°C
$5 KL.
37%
20°C
$0 KL.
19%
21°C
$0 KL.
19%
22°C
$0 KL.
19%
23°C
$0 KL.
19%
24°C
$0 KL.
19%
25°C
$5 KL.
37%
26°C
$5 KL.
2%
27°C
$5 KL.
37%
28°C or higher
$5 KL.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul point to a daily minimum near 21°C on August 24, aligning with late-summer climatology where overnight lows typically range 19–22°C amid high pressure and Bosphorus-influenced moderation. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows stable warm advection with limited cloud cover or frontal passages expected through the short-term window, keeping temperatures within seasonal norms rather than extremes. The near-even market split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in local microclimate effects, exact timing of any nocturnal cooling, and potential model spread in urban heat-island versus marine influences, with new high-resolution runs and official observations likely to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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